What if Justin Trudeau won the Federal election with less than 25% voter support?- March 23, 2019
2019, is shaping up to be a very interesting year for current Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, personally, I still think e wins the 2019 election, but one thing is for sure it won’t be by a landslide victory. Andrew Scheer in my opinion exemplifies the bland exterior of a Canadian Prime minister as does Maxime Bernier to some degree. Jagmeet Singh obviously doesn’t look like your typical Canadian Prime minister, but more than that, Jagmeet doesn’t have that Barack Obama air to him, that at the very least inspires you to consider a change.
So, in my humble opinion, this coming election could be one of the tightest races in Canadian history. Truth be told if Justin Trudeau wasn’t such a moron, he’d probably win the 2019 election easily, but I can really see things getting very interesting as people I think in this coming election will take a chance and vote for the person they feel best identifies them. Out of fear, I suspect that most people who’d otherwise vote for the NDP will in this years election vote for Trudeau simply to keep Andrew Scheer out of office, equally I think there will be some on the People’s Party of Canada who will vote for Scheer in hopes Justin Trudeau will lose, but the reason why this race will be so interesting revolves around the special interest groups.
In Canada a lot of people, a lot of industries are reliant on Government assistance, which is the real reason why the Conservative Party of Canada supports cartels like supply management, in my personal opinion it’s only when the prolonged recession its Canada that people will start to question the existence of these government-funded institutions, there’s too much-percieved prosperity for the average Canadian to consider change right now, which to me is why I expect Canadians will have to learn things the hard way.
What actually separates an Andrew Scheer run Cabinet from a Trudeau run cabinet is more financial discipline, Stephen Harper did more with less than Paul Martin and Jean Chretien with the economy those two Liberal cabinets designed. People forget are cut taxes and lowered the deficit, Justin, on the other hand, did the opposite, not to mention Justin added more regulations and has gone on the offensive increasing regulations. Justin Trudeau is really a moron, however in a democracy, a larger segment of the voting public are also morons, so I’m eager to see what strategy Scheers Conservatives employ at this year’s upcoming elections. My ideal scenario is actually for the economy to crash under Justin Trudeau, while the People’s Party of Cabinet is able to voice its solutions on the mainstream media.
Because if the economy crashes under, Scheer, Trudeau or Singh the problem is that all three of those political parties have special interest groups who will demand protections during the economic downturn which of course will make the problems worse. People are more receptive to a new message when times are bad, they’re less receptive when times are perceived to be good. In the event an economic crash happens while Andrew Scheer is Prime minister, even if he had nothing to do with it, he and the Political Right will be blamed and there’s a good chance that Canada will go more Left.
Canada going further Left would be the nail in the coffin for this country, that’s when we’d have a currency crisis and once that problem occurs when the government has surpassed 40% of the economy, there’s no easy fix to that problem, that’s when even essential services will be considered for privatization. Argentina, no matter what currency they create has the same re-occurring currency crisis every single time, because their government is too large, too many public sector workers or Crown Corporation equivalents exist in the Argentine economy, so once they create a currency the public sectors consume most of it, which of course means that any semblance of a Private Sector isn’t economically viable.
Quebec is know as the worst place in Canada to start a business, why? Because their government controls the economy with an iron fist. The public sector in Quebec is such that at any time, the public sector can demonize a private business and make the story stick which of course means to a business person that if they want to be successful they better be friends with the government. The whole SNC-Lavalin situation where they have to Lobby government exists because they’re a Quebec based company and if they don’t Lobby government, they go bankrupt and now more than ever with the brain drain that’s been happening in Canada since Pierre Trudeau, the government is having to take a more active role in protecting these companies, why? Because Engineers don’t have to stay in Canada.
I personally have family members who are Engineers, I can’t find them most of the year? Want to know why? Their skills are in demand all over the world!1 The go to Germany, New Zealand, the U.K, the USA all over the world, this is why I’ve never been a fan of a lower Loonie. It’s the dumbest idea I’ve ever heard of. However, it’s been embraced by a large segment of Canadians, which to me explains why many people in the U.S especially consider Canadians an insecure group of people. Aiming low is a silly strategy in the long term and if you simply look at the dwindling fundaments of the Canadian economy, because of our obsession with big government, the people of this great nation have been trained to seek security over freedom.
This is why in my opinion there’s a great chance Justin Trudeau will win the upcoming election, what I’m not sure about is how he’ll win, an idea came to me this morning which is why I gave this blog post the title I gave it. I talk to enough people to know that economics takes a back seat because of perceived economic prosperity in Canada. A lot of Canadians, unfortunately, are reserved with accepting mediocrity, anything else is too radical, too risky and they’d rather take the secure, safe road. This is what leads me to believe that Justin and Andrew may have a close race, however, this years election might be a different kind of race, where a large segment of the Canadian population simply doesn’t show up to vote!
I think a lot of Canadians will feel conflicted voting for Trudeau and being that many won’t like the alternatives, it’s my belief that there’s a possibility that many voters may simply stay at home. Good for the Conservatives you say? I’m not sure yet, a lot will depend on Andrew Scheer. Personally, I don’t think People’s Party of Canada will take any of the Conservatives votes, because the people who will be voting to beat Justin will vote Conservative no matter what.
Interesting times ahead
