With All The Free, BORROWED Money from The U.S Government in circulation, should we be worried about the U.S Housing Market? (Mortgage rates fall for the third straight week) – November 30, 2022

 

 

Demand is easing for the U.S. housing market, but how do you interpret that for future events? Well, clearly, the economy is in recession, and CHEAP money, that’s getting increasingly more expensive to borrow, is keeping the economy PROPPED up; with that said, mortgage lenders are dropping rates while central banks are raising rates, almost creating a NEGATIVE INTEREST RATE scenario as market participants, attempt to play the game.

The long game is that at some point, the Federal Reserve will lower or pause their rate hikes, but is that the only thing that’s going on? Is there more to this story? Ofcourse there is; the housing market is a bit of a Ponzi scheme, and I’m certain that the numbers are beginning to show that bankruptcies are on their way, and the Banks have to ATTRACT investors, who can do something with the stockpile that MIGHT be coming to market.

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Owning a home with a financial product puts you in business, and I think since the 2007-2008 market crash most of the bad business people are no longer MORTGAGE owners, meaning that the list of default are not that large in the United States and the Private banks could be positioning themselves to attract new clients, with their lower rates.

In Countries like Canada, on the flip side, things are different; Canada’s economy isn’t as diversified as the United States, mortgages are the only game in town and it’s a FEDERAL mandate to turn Canadians into homeowners, which has led to an increase in the amount of money private Canadian banks are willing to lend for some very QUESTIONABLE properties.

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Most of the housing “Bubbles” in the United States are in high-income areas; in Canada, the entire housing economy is one giant housing bubble, and Canada is not alone on this; in Australia, things are very similar, primarily because the FEDERAL governments of those two countries, have homeownership as a PRIORITY for their federal governments.

In the United States, state by state, you’ll see variations of housing prices, and although many are over-valued, they’re not RIDICULOUSLY overvalued; I don’t know too many wealthy people that have TORONTO as their living destination, yet a not-so-impressive bachelor pad condo in Toronto can set you back $700,000USD. I’d be more concerned with Canada than the United States in regard to housing.

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However, there is the issue of fiat money on the forex exchange markets and the intentions of the market to ignore what’s happening in domestic economies and concentrate on where investment is likely headed and therefore DISCOUNTING, domestic consumer price inflation, anticipating that current elevated pricing levels are indeed the new normal, and just to accept it, and find opportunities for U.S dollars in other parts of the world.

The banks selling mortgages may already be positioning themselves for PERMENENTN ELEVATED domestic pricing levels and are, therefore, merely looking for the RIGHT people to straddle with mortgage debt for that constant, reliable cash flow. This does position banks indeed well, politically, as they can make the claim that their mortgage rates are low and they’re assisting the Federal government with its transition to a greener economy.

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The problem lies in qualifying for mortgages; although rates are lower, who qualifies and who wants to buy? If the economy is hard to cashflow and asset price inflation is stagnant, only forward-seeing business people will be able to profit from this new DEFLATONARY economy.

Mortgage rates fall for the third straight week, but demand still drops further | cnbc.com

Interesting times ahead