Should Maxime Bernier and The PPC be disappointed by the ByElection Results? During a period in Which the Conservative Party has gained popularity, the PPC Still Received 17% – June 21, 2023,
A few days ago, two byelections occurred in Manitoba, one in Ontario, and one in Quebec results showed that in those ridings, people were satisfied with their representation. Liberals Ben Carr won in Winnipeg South Centre and Anna Gainey in Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount in Quebec won with relative ease. For the Conservatives, Arpan Khanna won in Oxford, Ontario, and Branden Leslie won in Portage-Lisgar in Winnipeg, beating Maxime Bernier.
Some claim this shows Justin Trudeau’s strength, which could be true; others claim that the PPC is losing relevancy, which I actually disagree with. Two scenarios benefit the People’s Party of Canada IF they don’t give up prematurely.
First and foremost, Pierre Poilievre has to be Trudeau in the 2025 election; if Pierre Poilievre can not beat Justin Trudeau, although I’m certain he likely will have two chances, it would definitely be a serious blow to the Conservative Party of Canada.
If Pierre Poilievre can not beat Justin Trudeau in 2025, this would signal to actual Conservatives that the Left Wingers in Canada have a stranglehold on politics, and moving forward, instead of trying to win elections, a smart voter would be more strategic and seek to PRESERVE what liberties and Freedoms they have left.
Most TRUE Conservatives lean more towards being a supporter of Maxime Bernier and the People’s Party of Canada; however, voters are pragmatic, and most see no path to victory for the People’s Party of Canada, and therefore, they support the centrists Conservative Party of Canada.
In the United States, although Donald Trump is being framed as an ultra Right Wing Conservative, from an economic perspective, Donald Trump is very Liberal. Apart from the second amendment, which I’m not even sure Donald Trump, the NEW YORK billionaire, believes in Donald Trump is a very pro-BIG GOVERNMENT,
Pierre Poilievre, in many ways, is pro-Big-Government also, and what I like to remind Conservatives is that if your candidate is pro-Big-Government, don’t be surprised when voters vote for the Left Wing politician who promises them more free stuff.
When Joe Biden beat Donald Trump, most voters had little comprehension of REGULATIONS on the economy, and therefore if you listened to most voters, which also included voters in the financial industries, they couldn’t imagine the difference between Donald Trump and Joe Biden from an economic perspective.
Similar to Pierre Poilievre, Donald Trump wanted to cut government regulations on productivity, which is a HUGE positive for the economy, but if you don’t understand that, you’ll assume that Joe Biden and Justin Trudeau are offering voters free stuff, and you’ll ignore the COST of these redistribution schemes.
Now, if you’re a Canadian voter who comprehends the COST of delivering “free stuff” to voters, you’d know why Maxime Bernier is a far superior politician to Pierre Poilievre, which for me, says a lot about Canadians who are still supporting the People’s Party of Canada.
Pierre Poilievre love him or hate him, is a strong candidate for the Conservative Party of Canada, and the PPC still managed to get 17% in that Winnipeg riding. The GTA wasn’t part of this byelection riding, so nobody really cares about what happened.
A lot of these smaller towns are fixed in their voting patterns; a lot of times, these MPs are very involved in their local communities and have PERSONAL relationships with some of their voters who spread the word.
So I don’t make much of what happened between the Conservatives and Liberals; what I am curious to see is how many TOTAL votes that PPC will be able to get in the 2025 election. Can the PPC crack a million votes, or will they retreat back to 250,000 votes? If the PPC can’t get at least 500,000 total votes in 2025, I’d say that is VERY bad.
If the PPC can have a repeat performance of 800,000+ votes during an era in which Pierre Poilievre appears to be the next Prime Minister, that would show me that the PPC is here to stay.
Because the two scenarios I see are if Justin Trudeau beats Pierre Poilievre, it’s a positive for the PPC, and if Pierre Poilievre beats Justin Trudeau, it’s a positive for the PPC because eventually, Pierre Poilievre’s popularity will fade, as I like to point out, a lot of Conservatives are voting for Pierre Poilievre because they want to get rid of Trudeau and once Trudeau is gone, you’re going to get a lot of Conservatives who want their FREEDOMS and Liberties back! Something I expect Pierre Poilievre will drag his feet on.
Interesting times ahead!